Don't worry Professor, you can tell it is AI, if it ever writes, "I`m sorry Bob" or wants to take over a space ship in deep space.
Per Ezra Klein's interview of Sci-Fi author, Ted Chiang "... most of our fears about technology are anxieties about how Capitalism will use technology against us."
considering that EVERY science news piece I research, write and publish is stolen by one or more scraper sites that seek to either steal my (paltry) income and to claim my authorship or to steal readers' identities and personal details when they pop onto the thieving site, i wonder how AI will affect this? further, will news be real anymore? for example, can i earn any money at all from doing my own research and writing? what about scientific papers: will they be legitimate any longer if AI can command the same scientific reviewers' eyeballs and steal the scientists' legitimacy?
I can’t see AI taking over bedside nursing in hospitals. The job changes too much day to day, and is too hands on with varying tasks. I won’t talk about the needed compassion coming from AI.
I do however notice fewer nurses are staying bedside nurses than ever. The new ones get their first job and already have a plan to go on to something else. Nurse practitioner, nurse anesthesia, nurse educator, management, etc. Hospitals keep piling more responsibility onto an already difficult job. I think this doesn’t help the situation of the nursing shortage. Covid didn’t help either. Nurses are doing more tasks support staff used to do because no one is working these jobs. Nurses give respiratory treatment’s (few respiratory therapist s) nurses are expected to do inter hospital transports for monitored patients (not enough acls emts) nurses are expected to do lab draws (not enough lab techs) hospital got rid of orderlies so we turn heavy patients and bring deceased to the morgue, they got rid of staff that clean iv pumps and poles on the weekends so nursing has to sanitize those on weekends when we run out or can’t find clean ones...the list goes on but you get the idea.
I guess if my job ever gets taken over by AI, they can just add more tasks without any pushback. For that reason I can see why big business will try and push for this in every industry possible. It just amplifies profits over patients.
I think AI has the potential to drive people even crazier than they currently are. I don’t know why I feel or think this way, I just do. Can you tell that this is me and not AI writing this? I can’t either. 😵💫
AI brings us to a treacherous threshold; the labor market will be replaced in large chunks driving wages way down. This spiral can only be stopped. If we admit that only a socially conscious form of capitalism can save – let’s face it – humanity.
The only thing to worry about is what Gordon Crovitz said. ChatGPT is going to spread misinformation at a furious clip, now that the 2024 campaigns are getting underway. My hope is that they overdo it, to the point where even True Believers will doubt what they're reading or hearing, especially on Fox News. This could work in favor of curated news, i.e., ethical journalists, because no one will trust anything else.
But in terms of replacing the work that professional people do, fear not. ChatGPT and its ilk do not exhibit even rudimentary human knowledge. They synthesize text from having scanned billions of examples and combining pieces with surprising grammatical fluency. But if you are expecting that these AI programs speak with any authority, which is what professionals do, then you will be greatly disappointed—or easily bamboozled. As we've seen, it's too easy to make them spout utter nonsense. I don't mean to demean poets, reviewers, and essayists, but if there's no rigorous way to judge what they write, then they will be competing with these idiotic AI programs. 50 years ago, the late, great Marie Borroff, an English professor at Yale, fiddled with some code and got it to produce this sentence: "The river winks, and I am ravished." The experiment was to show it to people and see what they thought it meant, even poetically speaking. Of course, it didn't mean anything.
These programs are just modern examples of the adage, "Garbage in, garbage out." But that suggests that if you can control the input, you might get good output. Non-garbage in, non-garbage out? An example is Wikipedia. While anyone can edit a Wikipedia article, there is an active community of people who watch what gets added and will make corrections, or simply remove the changes. There are also people who are empowered to prevent certain articles from being edited, such as religious topics, or articles where warring factions keep "correcting" each other's changes. Imagine a ChatGPT whose only input was Wikipedia, or even a carefully selected subset of Wikipedia. You might get a credible response to questions with factual answers. But would you trust it to prescribe a pill, design an elevator, or teach your kid how to multiply numbers? No.
I didn't plan to vote for Andrew Yang, but his suggestion for a UBI of $10,000/year sounded good to me. I could have used that money. Of course, in this country, that went over like a lead balloon. It would have been easier to have trump elected king of the world for all eternity. But seriously, all absurdity aside, UBI will have to replace income for most people in the not too distant future. Jobs will be a thing of the past, a relic like an arrowhead. Most jobs will eventually be replaced by AI. There is no doubt about that. We might as well get used to it, and in fact, we might as well plan on it so that we won't be shocked and surprised like we were when so many jobs left this country during the 90s causing that huge sucking sound that the little dude from Texas talked about when he ran third party in 1992. There are so many changes that are coming our way that if we aren't ready for frequent and scary changes, life will be insanely hard, like it isn't now. I doubt that we will recognize life 50 years from now. I won't because I'll be long gone. UBI is just the most obvious and most recognizable. Whoever is here had better not let the wealthy business class run roughshod over the once vibrant working class that will soon disappear into the night.
I look at it as a fabulous opportunity that will give people the freedom to pursue their dreams, travel and enjoy life like never before. They will not be hogtied to some job that underpaid them and bored them shitless. I'm sorry I won't live to see it.
Soon AI collides with nineteenth century capitalism. The result will be hell on earth for all but a small elite. Why do we naively hope that our elites will cushion our fall into irrelevancy? That would violate the capitalist axiom: He who has the most gold wins.
I can attest to the social elite of the growing class of people who are technically superior to us common "folk". Our society is in a state of perpetual anxiety and how it is starting to effect the social moral direction. My daughter would be an example of the "new" class of professionals. In her 30's home paid for ,getting her Masters in Finance. Home paid for in Phoenix Az. . They are minimalist which is fine ,money saved. However her anxiety has gripped her that she will not stay in our home because it is too "cluttered. I consider it an upscale antique décor. Am retired so attended high end Estate sales for my various collection pieces. The point is she plans to visit but will stay in an Airbnb. Our home was comfortable enough to be raised in now it is off limits to come visit. We moved here because years ago our children would have been bussed to other schools to balance out the student ratio. Fast forward to today and look at your severe problems in our schools. Moved to country where deer walk by our windows not an ambulance screaming by for another shooting. So our society is evolving with no purpose other than try to live a decent life but with an underlining of deep anxiety that is not going away. Me 76 so have seen it all and deeply regret how "life" has changed.
Right now, companies use these bots so customers cannot contact them anymore. Recently tried to cxl an Air Asia flight. You cannot call or email anyone anymore at air Asia. All replaced by bots that cannot perform that function. Right now it’s just corporate criminality.
With the cost of living being vastly different depending on where one lives, and likely to change more quickly depending on the state of the climate (e.g., sea level rise, flooding, fires,)available work, food supplies etc., etc, etc., how will AI (I assume) decide, recalculate and transmit funds to banks or cut checks to people to meet their needs quickly enough? After all, many of us will no longer have a paycheck to fall back on. And since pensions have gone the way of the dinosaurs and investments will always be uncertain, what happens when people retire or are disabled? Will they be forced to rely on this universal basic income only at a time when they may have more needs? So many people are in that position now, living only on Social Security, and are one step from the streets.
What will happen when people get bored, unhappy, depressed and feel worthless? Demagogues will pop out of the woodwork, (Trump, anyone?) I fear that this shift to AI, and a universal basic income, without looking at, and planning for, the consequences will make January 6 look like a Sunday School picnic!
So, UBI for everyone. That means everyone will be unable to do anything other than the basic needs of life (God forbid there is inflation and people have to rely on the government to increase their wage before they are homeless). Forget about a middle class where you can work to get a better life...there will be no work for you to do. Will the UBI be the same for those in NYC as for those in a village in Alabama?
Don't worry Professor, you can tell it is AI, if it ever writes, "I`m sorry Bob" or wants to take over a space ship in deep space.
Per Ezra Klein's interview of Sci-Fi author, Ted Chiang "... most of our fears about technology are anxieties about how Capitalism will use technology against us."
I don't like it. It takes away what it means to be human.
considering that EVERY science news piece I research, write and publish is stolen by one or more scraper sites that seek to either steal my (paltry) income and to claim my authorship or to steal readers' identities and personal details when they pop onto the thieving site, i wonder how AI will affect this? further, will news be real anymore? for example, can i earn any money at all from doing my own research and writing? what about scientific papers: will they be legitimate any longer if AI can command the same scientific reviewers' eyeballs and steal the scientists' legitimacy?
NOTE: edited to correct a typo. grrr.
And why would these execs, professionals and wizards push for UBI? Thy would rather see everyone else starve than give up any of their compensation.
Thank you, Robert. Two points:
1. The trouble is NOT the technology, it's WHO OWNS the technology. The super-rich are not our friends.
3. For fifty years, artificial intelligence was a respected scientific study, now it's only a marketing term for Wall Street pimps.
I can’t see AI taking over bedside nursing in hospitals. The job changes too much day to day, and is too hands on with varying tasks. I won’t talk about the needed compassion coming from AI.
I do however notice fewer nurses are staying bedside nurses than ever. The new ones get their first job and already have a plan to go on to something else. Nurse practitioner, nurse anesthesia, nurse educator, management, etc. Hospitals keep piling more responsibility onto an already difficult job. I think this doesn’t help the situation of the nursing shortage. Covid didn’t help either. Nurses are doing more tasks support staff used to do because no one is working these jobs. Nurses give respiratory treatment’s (few respiratory therapist s) nurses are expected to do inter hospital transports for monitored patients (not enough acls emts) nurses are expected to do lab draws (not enough lab techs) hospital got rid of orderlies so we turn heavy patients and bring deceased to the morgue, they got rid of staff that clean iv pumps and poles on the weekends so nursing has to sanitize those on weekends when we run out or can’t find clean ones...the list goes on but you get the idea.
I guess if my job ever gets taken over by AI, they can just add more tasks without any pushback. For that reason I can see why big business will try and push for this in every industry possible. It just amplifies profits over patients.
I think AI has the potential to drive people even crazier than they currently are. I don’t know why I feel or think this way, I just do. Can you tell that this is me and not AI writing this? I can’t either. 😵💫
UBI is worthless without generous and universal social services
AI brings us to a treacherous threshold; the labor market will be replaced in large chunks driving wages way down. This spiral can only be stopped. If we admit that only a socially conscious form of capitalism can save – let’s face it – humanity.
The only thing to worry about is what Gordon Crovitz said. ChatGPT is going to spread misinformation at a furious clip, now that the 2024 campaigns are getting underway. My hope is that they overdo it, to the point where even True Believers will doubt what they're reading or hearing, especially on Fox News. This could work in favor of curated news, i.e., ethical journalists, because no one will trust anything else.
But in terms of replacing the work that professional people do, fear not. ChatGPT and its ilk do not exhibit even rudimentary human knowledge. They synthesize text from having scanned billions of examples and combining pieces with surprising grammatical fluency. But if you are expecting that these AI programs speak with any authority, which is what professionals do, then you will be greatly disappointed—or easily bamboozled. As we've seen, it's too easy to make them spout utter nonsense. I don't mean to demean poets, reviewers, and essayists, but if there's no rigorous way to judge what they write, then they will be competing with these idiotic AI programs. 50 years ago, the late, great Marie Borroff, an English professor at Yale, fiddled with some code and got it to produce this sentence: "The river winks, and I am ravished." The experiment was to show it to people and see what they thought it meant, even poetically speaking. Of course, it didn't mean anything.
These programs are just modern examples of the adage, "Garbage in, garbage out." But that suggests that if you can control the input, you might get good output. Non-garbage in, non-garbage out? An example is Wikipedia. While anyone can edit a Wikipedia article, there is an active community of people who watch what gets added and will make corrections, or simply remove the changes. There are also people who are empowered to prevent certain articles from being edited, such as religious topics, or articles where warring factions keep "correcting" each other's changes. Imagine a ChatGPT whose only input was Wikipedia, or even a carefully selected subset of Wikipedia. You might get a credible response to questions with factual answers. But would you trust it to prescribe a pill, design an elevator, or teach your kid how to multiply numbers? No.
I didn't plan to vote for Andrew Yang, but his suggestion for a UBI of $10,000/year sounded good to me. I could have used that money. Of course, in this country, that went over like a lead balloon. It would have been easier to have trump elected king of the world for all eternity. But seriously, all absurdity aside, UBI will have to replace income for most people in the not too distant future. Jobs will be a thing of the past, a relic like an arrowhead. Most jobs will eventually be replaced by AI. There is no doubt about that. We might as well get used to it, and in fact, we might as well plan on it so that we won't be shocked and surprised like we were when so many jobs left this country during the 90s causing that huge sucking sound that the little dude from Texas talked about when he ran third party in 1992. There are so many changes that are coming our way that if we aren't ready for frequent and scary changes, life will be insanely hard, like it isn't now. I doubt that we will recognize life 50 years from now. I won't because I'll be long gone. UBI is just the most obvious and most recognizable. Whoever is here had better not let the wealthy business class run roughshod over the once vibrant working class that will soon disappear into the night.
I look at it as a fabulous opportunity that will give people the freedom to pursue their dreams, travel and enjoy life like never before. They will not be hogtied to some job that underpaid them and bored them shitless. I'm sorry I won't live to see it.
Soon AI collides with nineteenth century capitalism. The result will be hell on earth for all but a small elite. Why do we naively hope that our elites will cushion our fall into irrelevancy? That would violate the capitalist axiom: He who has the most gold wins.
I can attest to the social elite of the growing class of people who are technically superior to us common "folk". Our society is in a state of perpetual anxiety and how it is starting to effect the social moral direction. My daughter would be an example of the "new" class of professionals. In her 30's home paid for ,getting her Masters in Finance. Home paid for in Phoenix Az. . They are minimalist which is fine ,money saved. However her anxiety has gripped her that she will not stay in our home because it is too "cluttered. I consider it an upscale antique décor. Am retired so attended high end Estate sales for my various collection pieces. The point is she plans to visit but will stay in an Airbnb. Our home was comfortable enough to be raised in now it is off limits to come visit. We moved here because years ago our children would have been bussed to other schools to balance out the student ratio. Fast forward to today and look at your severe problems in our schools. Moved to country where deer walk by our windows not an ambulance screaming by for another shooting. So our society is evolving with no purpose other than try to live a decent life but with an underlining of deep anxiety that is not going away. Me 76 so have seen it all and deeply regret how "life" has changed.
Right now, companies use these bots so customers cannot contact them anymore. Recently tried to cxl an Air Asia flight. You cannot call or email anyone anymore at air Asia. All replaced by bots that cannot perform that function. Right now it’s just corporate criminality.
Referring to the USA only:
With the cost of living being vastly different depending on where one lives, and likely to change more quickly depending on the state of the climate (e.g., sea level rise, flooding, fires,)available work, food supplies etc., etc, etc., how will AI (I assume) decide, recalculate and transmit funds to banks or cut checks to people to meet their needs quickly enough? After all, many of us will no longer have a paycheck to fall back on. And since pensions have gone the way of the dinosaurs and investments will always be uncertain, what happens when people retire or are disabled? Will they be forced to rely on this universal basic income only at a time when they may have more needs? So many people are in that position now, living only on Social Security, and are one step from the streets.
What will happen when people get bored, unhappy, depressed and feel worthless? Demagogues will pop out of the woodwork, (Trump, anyone?) I fear that this shift to AI, and a universal basic income, without looking at, and planning for, the consequences will make January 6 look like a Sunday School picnic!
So, UBI for everyone. That means everyone will be unable to do anything other than the basic needs of life (God forbid there is inflation and people have to rely on the government to increase their wage before they are homeless). Forget about a middle class where you can work to get a better life...there will be no work for you to do. Will the UBI be the same for those in NYC as for those in a village in Alabama?